Randwick Racing: 2017 Sydney Cup Betting Tips

April 22, 2017 by Posted in Horse Racing Tips

Royal Randwick Raceday
The rescheduled Group 1 Sydney Cup over 3200m is the feature race of the weekend in Sydney and a field of 14 is set to line up.

We’ll be racing under similar conditions as what we were two weeks ago with the Randwick track rated a Heavy 8.

It was interesting to note last time that the Chris Waller stable were going to try and lead with Kinema but he jumped slowly, so it is worth noting that he may well be right up on the pace if he jumps cleanly. Lasqueti Spirit looks the obvious leader with Pnetathlon set to come across from out wide. It looks a reasonably steady tempo but as we’ve seen previously, Lasqueti Spirit could well ramp it up from the 1000m mark.

A number of winning hopes here but the race overall is a tough one to assess with only six runners having completed the full race when it was called off two weeks ago. That means half the field has had a tough run, half had an easy run, while some have different jockeys and they all have a different barrier draw!

What we did see was Godolphin runner Polarisation win the no-race two weeks ago, beating Chance To Dance and the other Godolphin representative Penglai Pavilion. That’s the way I’m going based on how strong he was hitting the line at the conclusion of the race. Moreover, he drew wide that day and today draws well in barrier 8, while some of his main rivals such as Who Shot TheBarman and Penglai Pavilion have drawn wide this time around.

Penglai Pavilion could well improve enough from that first up run to win this but he had every chance in the no-race and could only manage 3rd and it’s hard to see the barrier draw doing him any favours here. In contrast, Chance To Dance draws exceptionally well and I’m sure he surprised a few when he was 2nd in the no race. There’s no reason he can’t feature here from the good draw, although the jockey change of Damian Lane off and Christian Reith on is a huge downgrade.

The favourite for the race is still Big Duke, whow as one of the runners pulled up half way through the race two weeks ago. He was travelling well up until that point but it’s hard to gauge whether he would have run out the 3200m. He comes up a better price today around the $3.50 mark and has another good barrier draw in his favour, but with the query over his ability at the distance still hovering, I’ll take him on again.

The barrier draw has really dented Who Shot The Barman’s chances here. After drawing barrier 4 in the no-race, he draws terribly in 15 here. Having said that, he was near the back of the field when his jockey was dislodged last time, so expect them to once again ride him quiet. Waller was very confident he would run in the top 3 last time, and he’s sure to run the two miles, so despite him carrying top weight he looks one of the value hopes at $13.

So too is his stablemate Libran who started favourite for this race last year and ran 2nd. He was travelling well when pulled out of the race last start and we know he runs the distance. His biggest query is the heavy track but I’m willing to once again have something on him given how he performed in this race last year. He’s the forgotten horse and if Bowman was available he’d be riding. Avdulla isn’t a bad replacement.

Kinema is the knockout hope, while Harlem is the big unknown.


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