The Bet King’s NRL Round 11 ‘Pick of the Week’

May 21, 2015 by Posted in Betting Tips, NRL Tips

The Bet King’s NRL Betting ‘Pick of the Week’ for Round 11.

On Friday night we will be all over the South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Parramatta Eels game.

Next Wednesday’s Origin Game 1 won’t effect this one to much with only Greg Inglis from the Souths and Will Hopoate from Parramatta selected.

The Rabbitohs are set to light it up. They were unlucky not to hold off the Storm last weekend. With Greg Inglis out, there’s a slight reshuffle but that’s nothing to worry about. Alex Johnston has proven in the past he can handle the big job at full back. Jason Clark has been named returning to lock and the Burgess twins are as tough as ever. The reigning premiers look the goods this weekend.

The Eels are all over the place this year. Hard to read. They’re strong on the outside but teams have managed to crack the middle in recent weeks. They are 3 wins 7 losses, mainly due to an inability to play out the full 80 minutes. They’re on a short turn around and as has been the case all season they are “staying positive”. The inclusion of Junior Paulo will bolster their forward pack but is he enough?

We don’t think so. We’ll be looking at Souths to win this one.

While we think the Souths win, our bet of the week is in the first try scorers market.

South’s interim fullback Alex Johnston is definitely not suffering from the second-year blues. He’s well on the way to breaking his debut season’s stats as he’s third in the league at the moment with 8 tries already this season. That means he crosses the line 80% of the time he plays.

This kid was the leading try scorer last season with 21 from 18 starts. He’s had 10 line breaks this season, against 21 last season, essentially meaning if he breaks the line he scores a try. It’s that simple and with the money back offer from Sportsbet, there is huge value on Johnston here – he might not get the first one, but we will be backing him in to score at least one more often than not.

Bet: Alex Johnston FTS ($11.00) – Sportsbet



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