Gold Coast Racing: Hollindale Stakes Preview

May 6, 2016 by Posted in Horse Racing Tips

Hauraki

All-New Jaguar F-Pace A.D. Hollindale Stakes 1800m – Group 2

The feature race on the card at the Gold Coast this weekend sees a host of Group 1 quality stayers lining up in the Group 2 Hollindale Stakes over 1800m, which acts as a nice precursor to BTC Cup Day next weekend.

The track at the Gold Coast is currently rated a Soft 5 but with fine weather predicted for the remainder of Friday and 27 degrees predicted for Saturday we should see the track upgraded to a Good 4 for race day. Traditionally it is pretty difficult to lead and win at the Gold Coast so we should be looking at those horses that will be running on.

The pace looks to be genuine here with quite a few go-forward horses. I’d expect Leebaz and Strawberry Boy to be the pacemakers but Honey Toast is another that likes to push forward. We’ve also seen It’s Somewhat and Kool Kompany race up on the pace at their most recent starts, and Old North will probably look to make use of barrier 1 to hold a position.

Hauraki will get a comfortable run in midfield from barrier 2, possibly alongside the NZ horse Sakhee’s Soldier. Excess Knowledge, Puccini and Volkstok’n’barrell will go back from their wide barriers with usual backmarker Sir Moments joining them, while Chris Waller’s import Spiritjim will likely be given time to find his feet.

I’m really only entertaining three horses as winning chances here: Hauraki, Volkstok’n’barell and Old North. Excess Knowledge ran a belter first up but we haven’t seen him since, which included him missing the Doncaster, and that reeks of problems with the horse.

If we look back at Hauraki’s form throughout this preparation, he has two placings behind Winx over 1400m and 1600m, and then a 2nd behind The United States in a Group 1 over 2000m. He was beaten comfortably in the Queen Elizabeth last start but with 4 weeks off I’m prepared to back him to beat this lot.

Volkstok’n’barrell won back to back Group 1’s in New Zealand before failing in the Doncaster. Steps back up in distance here which is beneficial and he can bounce back despite the wide draw.

Old North has been racing in Group 2 and Group 3 races, and despite going down as the hot favourite in a Group 3 last start his form is still good enough to see him feature here with a good run from barrier 1.

Prepared to watch Waller’s import who is looking for further, but it’s worth keeping an eye on the other New Zealander Sakhee’s Soldier who ran 4th in a Group 1 last start.

Puccini, Strawberry Boy and Leebaz aren’t going well enough to win this, and Sir Moments and Honey Toast are racing in terrific form but shape more as each way chances in my opinion.

Expect the race to be run at a strong tempo which will suit Hauraki coming from off the speed. Volkstok’n’barrell will also be coming from back in the field, while Old North may get a little head start if he can get a split at the right time. Sir Moments best of the locals.

1st HAURAKI
2nd VOLKSTOK’N’BARRELL
3rd OLD NORTH
4th SIR MOMENTS

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