The Bet King’s AFL Round 8 ‘Pick of the Week’

May 20, 2015 by Posted in AFL Tips, Betting Tips

The Bet King’s AFL Betting ‘Pick of the Week’ for Round 8.

This weekend we will be getting on Hawthorn to beat Sydney.

Every way you look at this game there seems to be plenty of value on the reigning premiers in this Grand Final rematch. Odds are currently $1.58 and they should win comfortably, especially considering the one time the Hawks have lost against the Swans in the last five matchups saw them lose by just 19 points.

There are two big factors here that force us to lean towards the Hawks. Firstly, this game is at the MCG – a venue where the Hawks dominate and have a record of 10-5 against the Swans. Overall the Hawks have won 19 of their past 21 against any team at the MCG.

The next big plus for the Hawks is that Jordan Lewis, Isaac Smith and Brian Lake will be returning to the side. Lewis had a huge game against the Swans in the Grand Final and he will likely once again cause headaches for the red and white. Smith, meanwhile, has provided huge run for the Hawks this year and of course, Lake will be the key in stifling either Lance Franklin or Kurt Tippet’s influence.

Another consideration for this game is the Hawks domination of marks inside 50. They are averaging 15.9 in this area of the game, while the Swans average just 10.4 and are ranked 12th in the comp. Because of this the Hawks average a league-high 114 points a game, compared to the Swans 88. How can the Swans compete with that kind of attacking power?

Bet: Hawks Hd-to-Hd ($1.58)

 

Written by Bet King - Sports Betting Tips

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