AFL Round 23 ‘Pick of the Week’

September 3, 2015 by Posted in AFL Tips, Betting Tips

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It looks extremely tough to pick a winner during the final round of the 2015 AFL season. Most games this week feature a heavy favourite and the others (like Hawks V Carlton) are almost completely pointless games with a guaranteed winner, but we will still try to find some value with AFL betting.

The only game that we think poses some value is the Crows V. Geelong game. I do, however, think this is a bit of a danger game (pun intended), so will be going with a unique bet this time around.

If I had to pick a winner, I do lean towards Adelaide. They are so fired up and ready to get into the finals with momentum. The put up a massive score against the Eagles last week at home and I think that scoring power could be too much for Geelong. We did, however, say the same thing when the Bulldogs travelled down to Simonds Stadium earlier in the year and the Cats found a way to win at home and keep the Dogs to a low score. Do not underestimate the Simonds Stadium factor.

The reason this game is a danger game for Adelaide might seem a romantic notion, but I just really think with so many veteran Cats moving on at the end of the year, that they might try and go out with a bang. Factors like this are very hard to measure, but we are talking about one of the most decorated teams of the modern era moving on some of their most decorated players of their successful years. The Cats are a proud club and will go out fighting on their home ground. Geelong also have a solid record against the Crows and especially at Simonds where they have won 14 of 17 contests.

On current form, you would have to back the Crows, but considering this game is at Simonds and considering the Cats should come out firing in front of their home crowd (some of the players from the last time), we think this one is very likely to be a close game.

Bet – Crows/Cats: Either Team by Under 24.5 Points – $1.87 at Sportsbet


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