2018 AFL Round 10 Betting Tips
2018 AFL Round 10 Preview and Betting Tips
Just the 8 games for us to decipher this week with Port Adelaide and Gold Coast having the bye after their China trip. Nonetheless there are still some huge games with a lot of value on offer, so take a look below at SmitTips Round 10 AFL preview and betting tips.
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs (Friday, 7:50PM AEST)
The Magpies were good without being great in their Round 9 win over the Saints. They’re now at a healthy 5-4 for the season, although are still sitting outside the top 8 in 10th position. Young gun Jordan De Goey was the match-winner again with 6 goals and looks to have taken another step forward in his development this year, while Steele Sidebottom was as silky as ever in the midfield, collecting another 38 touches. Unfortunately for the magpies they’ll be without Daniel Wells this week as he’s been given the week off for rest.
The Bulldogs were held to just 26 points in their disappointing loss to the Crows last weekend, which dropped them to 13th position on the ladder at 4-5. Despite the loss, it was another huge performance by ball-magnet Jack Macrae, who was diagnosed with leather poisoning after the game. He had a team-high 13 tackles to go along with 36 touches, which just highlights the improvement he’s made on his defensive work this season. The Dogs can’t keep relying on Bontempelli to kick their score and will need to find some more targets in the forward 50 this week if they’re to be a chance.
The Magpies are certainly the form team of the two and come in as comfortable favourites with the Bookies. Happy to take the Pies at the line, especially with the Bulldogs coming back from a slog against the Crows interstate.
TIP: Magpies at the line (-15.5) – $1.92 at Sportsbet
Ladbrokes Special: Back the Magpies to win at $2 (Max bet $20)
Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints (Saturday, 1:45PM AEST)
The Tigers were dominated by the Eagles in their top of the table clash in Round 9, eventually falling by 47 points in the West. Despite losing, they remain in 2nd position on the ladder with 7 wins. What’s even more surprising than the big loss is the recent form of 2017 Brownlow Medallist and Norm Smith Medallist, Dustin Martin. It’s been several weeks in a row now that Dusty has failed to have the impact on the game that we’ve come to know and love. He’s averaging 22 disposals across his last 3 games and has failed to kick a goal in that same stretch, which is definitely something we didn’t see in 2017.
The Saints looked likely to cause an upset over Collingwood at certain stages of their 28-point loss last weekend. They lead by 10 points early in the third term but were unable to capitalise on their ball dominance. They remain in 16th position on the ladder with just 1 win from 9 games.
The head-to-head markets are one-way traffic in this one, giving us no value to work with. The total points market is the most appealing, with 8 of their last 10 matches eclipsing the 164-point mark the line is set at.
TIP: Total Points Over (164.5) – $1.90 at Sportsbet
Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues (Saturday, 7:25PM AEST)
The Cats were extremely poor in their 34-point loss to the out of form Bombers last weekend. In a game where they started as huge favourites, they were just never able to get out of first gear. They now sit in 8th position on the ladder with a 5-4 record and will be itching to rectify last week’s performance against the Blues this weekend.
The Blues were humiliated in their clash with the Demons last week, eventually losing by a whopping 106 points! From start to finish they were lacklustre in their attack on their contest and their willingness to do the 1%ers. They are currently cemented in last position on the ladder with 1 win to date. Cripps was terrific with 31 touches and a goal as he continues to be their only shining light in a dull season for the club.
The Cats are going to win this, it’s just a matter of by how much. With no value in the head-to-head markets I’ve looked elsewhere for value. The Cats will be hungry and should kick a monster score. Expecting a bag of goals from one of their stars.
TIP: Any player to kick 5+ goals – $2.50 at Sportsbet
Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles (Sunday, 1:10PM AEST)
The Hawks and Eagles will duel on Sunday in what looms as the game of the round. The Hawks are coming off a really disappointing loss against the then winless Lions, which dropped them down to 9th on the ladder at 5-4. With Hodgey playing his old mob for the first time it was he who was able to have the last laugh. The Hawks will be desperate to bounce back this week with a big performance against the Eagles.
The Eagles showcased their premiership credentials in a massive win over the Tigers in Round 9. Darking and Kennedy were simply too much for the Tigers to handle and could prove to be the difference again this week. They are now at the top of the ladder after claiming 8 wins from 9 games and have officially announced themselves as contenders. However, the Eagles are known for not travelling well and have certainly have their struggles against the Hawks in the past.
I’m ignoring the form in this one and taking a look back at the history between these two sides in Melbourne. West Coast have never beaten Hawthorn outside of Perth in 25 attempts.
TIP: Hawks to win – $2.25 at Ladbrokes
