2017 AFL Round 8 Betting Tips

May 8, 2017 by Posted in AFL Tips

AFL Round 8
A crazy round seven in the AFL saw six underdogs get up including both top two placed teams in Adelaide and Greater Western Sydney. The week should throw a massive spanner in the works for AFL betting moving forward, but it won’t stop us from attempting to find some value as we look towards Round 8 starting Friday night.

West Coast vs Western Bulldogs (Friday 8.10pm AEST)
Both the Eagles and the Bulldogs are coming off massive wins on the weekend against Port Adelaide and Richmond respectively. The Western Bulldogs in particular survived a late surge by the Tigers to win by just 5 points at Etihad on Saturday night while the Eagles were too strong for the Power in Adelaide.

The Bulldogs were lucky to escape once again, making it at least four games on the year now which they have come away with wins in 50-50 games. Travelling to Perth to play the Eagles is always a tough test, particularly when West Coast are in good form. Since a Round 5 loss to Hawthorn at the MCG, the Eagles have won their last two games fairly comfortably and not get the luxury of returning to Domain Stadium to play last year’s premiers.

The Eagles injury list is long but relatively good at the moment, with the only real regular first 22 players out being Nic Natanui, Jamie Cripps and Scott Lycett. We think they hold firm here and win with the home field advantage.

TIP: West Coast 1-39 – 2.20 at Sportsbet

St. Kilda vs Carlton (Saturday 2.10pm AEST)
St. Kilda’s confidence will be sky high after a massive win in the opening game of Round 7 on Friday night. The Saints were able to overcome the 2nd placed Giants by 23 points as midfield stars Jack Steven and Seb Ross put on a dominant display to move their team to 4-3 on the season so far. It was the clubs first win on a Friday night in 7 years and could mark a big turning point and possibly the end of their rebuild, with the Giants being the first big scalp they have taken since their dominant years of 2008-2010.

Carlton also secured a huge win for their club as they took down Collingwood on Saturday in the Magpies 125-Year Celebration game. Captain Marc Murphy continued his good form in 2017 with another 30-disposal game, while youngster Sam Petrevski-Seton impressed with 21 touches and 2 goals.

It should be a slight step up in class for the Blues here. Even through their rebuild St. Kilda played Etihad as good as any other team in the league, and their quick, high pressure long kicking game suits the ground. St. Kilda has also had the wood over Carlton in recent performances, with 92, 71 and 22 point wins in their last 3 games. We like the Saints to win this one comfortably.

TIP: St. Kilda -27.5 – $1.92 at Ladbrokes

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Greater Western Sydney vs Collingwood (Saturday 4.35pm AEST)
Alarm bells won’t be ringing just yet in Greater Western Sydney, with the Giants losing defender Adam Kennedy in the first quarter against the Saints and being a substitution down for the majority of the game, there was some reason for them to lose the game. They’ll welcome the return to Spotless Stadium on Saturday against a struggling Magpies team.

The great win over the Cats in round six would seem like a lifetime ago now for Collingwood Nathan Buckley, whose fortunes seem to live week to week at the moment. The win was sandwiched in between two terrible losses to long-time rivals in Essendon and Carlton, and it gets tougher this week with the trip to GWS.

The one positive for the Magpies is the Giants extensive injury list, however, they will welcome back gut running machine Lachie Whitfield and goal-sneak Toby Greene this week, while Brett Delidio, could also make his 2017 debut. They should be too strong for the Pies in a close-ish game.

TIP: Greater Western Sydney 1-39 – $2.20 at Sportsbet

Essendon vs Geelong (Saturday 7.25pm AEST)
Arguably the most inconsistent team of the 2017 season so far has been Essendon. They have had some great wins over the likes of Hawthorn and Collingwood but then succumb to teams they would have been confident against in Carlton and Melbourne. The midfield and defence at Bomber-land looks strong with the additions of returning players in Dyson Heppel, Jobe Watson, Michael Hurley and Cale Hooker, but the offence has been their problem, with a 100-point performance against the Pies being their best since round two.

After a hot 5-0 start to the season, the Cats have lost their last two games to Collingwood and the gold Coast. The Selwood and Dangerfield combo was beaten hands down in both games by superior midfields and will get another tough test here with the likes of Heppel, Zach Merret and co.

There’s talk that Cats star midfielder and reigning Brownlow medallist Patrick Dangerfield is playing with an injured knee, which could be the reason why Geelong have lacked production in the midfield over the last two weeks. However, they’ll need to get more from surrounding players Zach Touhy, Sam Menegola and Cam Guthrie if they want to remain competitive. Mitch Duncan has been one player who has stepped up in the slump of Selwood and Dangerfield, going for 33 disposals and a goal on the weekend.

We picked them to bounce back after a tough loss last week, but we might have been a week early. Can’t see champions like Dangerfield and Selwood staying down for long, back them to win here.

TIP: Geelong 1-39 – $2.20 at Sportsbet

Gold Coast vs Port Adelaide (Sunday 3.15pm AEST)
The Suns are now just one win adrift of the top eight after a massive win over Geelong on the weekend. The backed up a hard-fought loss to the Kangaroos the week before by dismantling Geelong in the midfield to come away with a 25-point win. Ablett, Hall, Harbrow and Barlow all racked up 29 or more disposals as the Suns had 71-48 inside 50s for the match and won nearly every other key statistic.

Port Adelaide snapped their two-game winning streak with a surprising home loss to the Eagles on Saturday night. The Power were wayward in front of goal all night, kicking 12.15 and having six more scoring shots compared to the Eagles 15.9 in the 10-point loss.

If this game was in Adelaide it would be hard to look past the Power, but over in China, where both teams will be jet-lagged and completely new to the surroundings, we like them to keep it close.

TIP: Gold Coast +18.5 – $1.92 at Ladbrokes

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