2017 AFL Round 6 Betting Tips
We went 5-0 in our AFL Tips last weekend in a big bounce back round. We’ll be aiming to improve even further on our season tally this weekend as we preview the key games in Round 6 of the AFL season below.
AFL Round 6 Betting Tips
Greater Western Sydney vs Western Bulldogs (Friday, 7.50pm)
GWS will host its first ever Friday night game in Round 6 as they take on the Bulldogs in a rematch of last year’s preliminary final. Both teams currently sit at 4-1 on the year so far, and while GWS have looked the dominant side in most of their matches, the Bulldogs have had some good fortune in a few of their wins. The Dogs were able to overcome Brisbane on the weekend after trailing the whole game and being behind by as much as 38 points late in the second quarter. Combine that with extremely close calls against Collingwood, Sydney and North Melbourne, and it seems that the Bulldogs luck from finals time last year is carrying over.
Apart from a disappointing loss to Adelaide in Round 1, GWS have punished any team that has stood in their way, the closest of which was Port Adelaide who came within 40 points. Toby Greene and Jeremy Cameron combine for a lethal forward line 1-2 punch, not to mention the former No.1 draft pick Jonathon Patton. Their midfield core has no one standout superstar, but rather an almost unfair amount of above average players in Josh Kelly, Dylan Shiel, Tom Scully and Callan Ward. Spotless Stadium is becoming somewhat of a fortress for the Giants and we expect them to win this one over a somewhat shaky looking Dogs team.
TIP: GWS -19.5 – $1.95 at bet365
Hawthorn vs St. Kilda (Saturday, 1.45pm AEST)
Massive game for both teams here who need a win to stay in touch with the top eight. Hawthorn finally played how most people expected them to at the start of the season by defeating West Coast to the tune of 50 points at the MCG on Sunday. Could it be the start of the resurgence of the once great Hawks? Prized recruit Tom Mitchell was dominant in the victory, racking up 37 disposals while familiar names in Luke Bruest, Jack Gunston and Jarryd Roughead all joined the 2017 party with 3 goals apiece.
It seems the Saints are once again going to be the kings of the honourable loss in 2017. After a decimation at the hands of Melbourne in Round 1, the Saints have lost heartbreaking games to West Coast and Geelong where they have led for the majority of both games. The Hawks big problem is finding marking targets inside forward 50, which isn’t as much of a hassle for the Saints, who boast marking forwards in Tim Membrey, Josh Bruce and of course Nick Reiwoldt. The reason the Hawks won their last clash was sheer dominance in the inside 50 stat, but with a much improved clearance midfield to pump the ball into St. Kilda’s forward options, St. Kilda look the value bet here.
TIP: St. Kilda to win 1-39 – $2.63 at Sportsbet
West Coast vs Fremantle (9.10pm AEST)
The West Australian Derby gets another instalment this weekend as West Coast host the Dockers at Domain Stadium on Saturday night. Fremantle have a massive chance here to turn the heat right up on their cross town rivals, who have lost two of their last three games as favourites. Fremantle have won their last three games, all by small margins, but sit just outside the top eight and can make a massive statement with a win here. In Aaron Sandilands 250th game, the Dockers will be desperate for a win.
The West Australian Derby is always tough to pick, especially when both teams form has been so topsy-turvy this early in the year. Fremantle star Nat Fyfe is beginning to regain some of the form that saw him win the 2015 Brownlow medal, however, Fremantle will be without midfielder Stephen Hill for this clash. Regardless, I’m still inclined to take three goal head start with Fremantle.
TIP: Fremantle +18.5 – $1.91 at Unibet
Adelaide vs Richmond (Sunday, 4.10pm AEST)
We’ll have at least one less undefeated team after Round 6 as Adelaide square off against Richmond in the City of Churches on Sunday afternoon. For two undefeated sides clashing in Round 6, it’s would have to be one of the most one sided betting games in history. The Crows have opened at $1.15, and probably rightfully so. We mentioned Richmond’s very easy schedule at the start of the season, (when we predicted Richmond to make the eight) and their current record is probably partly due to that.
Adelaide on the other hand, have already defeated quality opponents in the Giants, Hawks and Power, and have deservedly come way in in the Premiership betting odds. Their forward line is one of if not the most potent in the league, boasting Taylor Walker, Eddie Betts and Tom Lynch while Josh Jenkins should add to that potency by returning from injury this week. At home we think they should be too strong for the Tiges but with not much value on the win, the over looks a good bet at just 175.5, the Crows have scored at least 100 every game this year so Richmond shouldn’t have to score too much to hit it.
TIP: Total Points OVER 175.5 – $1.91 at bet365
AFL Round 6 Multi
Starting this week, we’ll be giving you our best value multi every round. This week we’ll be looking for an easy win to double up as we take three hot favourites all to get the win by just 10 points in the pick your own line markets that can be found at nearly any bookmaker.
We like Port Adelaide to continue their winning ways as they come up against Brisbane, who despite showing heart against the Dogs last week, won’t have enough firepower to go with the Power here. The Blues are a similar story and although they are hosting the Swans in Melbourne, we like the Swans to finally find their first win of the year here as Jarrad McVeigh could be in line for his 2017 debut. The final game we’ll take is the Crows for the above-mentioned reasons.
TIP: Crows, Power and Swans all -9.5 – $1.91 at Sportsbet
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