2017 AFL Round 5 Betting Tips
Another disappointing week in Round 4 see us hit on just one of our five tips. It has been challenging to adjust to a world where Sydney and Hawthorn don’t win every week but we think we’ve got the gist of it now and are ready to begin our winning ways. We preview some of the key games in Round 5 of the AFL Season here.
AFL Round 5 Betting Tips
Port Adelaide vs Carlton (Friday, 7.20pm AEST)
After a hot start to the season, the Power have had two tough matchups the last two weeks in Adelaide and GWG and now sit 7th on the ladder at 2-2. They’ll get a much easier opponent this week when they matchup against Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Friday night. The Blues have won just one game on the season so far after their round 3 victory over the Bombers in a wet game.
Blues captain Marc Murphy has returned to form after an injury plagued 2016 but he has limited help in the midfield proven last week when the Suns had 5 of the top 7 disposal winners in their 26-point win over Carlton. The Power will welcome the change of pace here with Carlton and Brisbane to come in the next two rounds, they should move on to 4-2 easily.
TIP: Port Adelaide 37.5 – $1.92 at Sportsbet
Gold Coast vs Adelaide (Saturday, 4.35pm AEST)
Adelaide are one of the three remaining teams currently undefeated after four games along with Richmond and Geelong. They’ll travel to Queensland on Saturday to take on the Suns who have two great wins over Hawthorn and Carlton in the last two weeks. Adelaide have moved into 2nd in premiership betting behind only GWS after their hot start and deservedly so after winning their four games by an average margin of 40 points.
Midfielders Rory Sloane, Matt Crouch, Brodie Smith and Rory Laird have been on fire and with Scott Thompson to come back into the side in coming weeks the Crows boast one of the most damaging midfields in the league. Their forward line is also top rate, with Taylor Walker, Tom Lynch and Eddie Betts all having multiple goal games so far this season. Adelaide should be too strong here.
TIP: Adelaide -27.5 – $1.92 at Sportsbet
St. Kilda vs Geelong (Sunday, 3.20pm AEST)
The Saints will host Geelong at Etihad Stadium on Sunday in what should be a good clash. St. Kilda have been impressive the last two weeks with wins over Brisbane and Collingwood to make up for their losses in the first two rounds against Melbourne and West Coast. While Geelong boast a 4-0 record, they were lucky in round 2 against the Kangaroos and have had a relatively easy run so far.
St. Kilda should get back jack Steven for the clash which will bolster the midfield and give them a completely full strength side. Aging veteran Nick Reiwoldt has looked unbelievable early in the season and is relishing his role further up the ground with the likes of Tim Membrey, Josh Bruce and Paddy McCartin holding down the forward line. It should be a good battle of the midfields here as Steven, David Armitage and Seb Ross go up against the juggernaut that is the Selwood/Dangerfield combo. Geelong to win in a close game.
TIP: Geelong to win 1-39 – $2.20 at Sportsbet
Richmond vs Melbourne (Monday, 7.25pm AEST)
The undefeated Tigers will host Melbourne at the MCG in a special Monday night game on the eve of ANZAC Day. The Tigers have looked outstanding this year, and while their game against West Coast was their only real test so far, their tackling and forward pressure has been second to none. After starting 2-0, the Demons have faltered over the last two weeks with losses to Geelong and a heartbreaking 2-point loss to the Dockers.
Both teams seem to have improved dramatically since last year, but this should be a barometer for them both as both will likely be chasing finals positions in the bottom half of the eight. Really tough game to pick but you have to go with form here in the Tigers especially since Melbourne will be without star ruckman Max Gawn.
TIP: Richmond to win 1-39 – $2.37 at Sportsbet
Essendon vs Collingwood (Tuesday, 3.20pm AEST)
The ANZAC Day clash between Essendon and Collingwood will be held Tuesday and both teams will be desperate for a win after sharing just 3 wins between them so far. Essendon came crashing back to earth after a hot start to the season with a loss to Carlton in round 3 before having their pants pulled down by Adelaide last week. Collingwood will present a good opportunity to get a win on the board for the Bombers with Pies still hosting a few key injuries.
Pies coach Nathan Buckley has to be running out of lives and it’s almost a must win against their fierce rivals to keep his future at the club alive. Collingwood’s kicking woes have been their issue over the first four rounds, especially last weekend when they kicked 7:13 against the Saints in what could have been a win. You can analyse ANZAC Day matches all you want, but going into the game it’s always a flip of the coin, I like to take the value in the annual affair.
TIP: Essendon to win – $2.10 at Sportsbet
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