2017 AFL Round 15 Betting Tips

June 27, 2017 by Posted in AFL Tips

Another winning week for us in the AFL last weekend after we hit on 3 of our 5 tips. We’ll look to continue our decent run this weekend as the AFL heads into Round 15 of the 2017 season. The action kicks off Friday night with the Demons hosting Sydney. We preview the key games of the round and give our betting tips below.

AFL Round 15 Betting Tips

Melbourne vs Sydney (Friday, 7.50pm AEST)
Melbourne proved they are one of the forces to be reckoned with in the AFL after travelling to Perth to claim a 3-point win over the Eagles in Round 14. They’ll get another tough challenge this Friday night when they host the in form Swans who are coming off one of the more miraculous wins in recent history.

Down 19 to the Bombers with just three minutes to go, the Swans looked down and out before a late charge including three goals and two behinds saw them win with a kick for goal after the final siren. The win not only keeps the finals hopes for the Swans alive but propels them right into the mix, now just four points behind the Eagles, Saints and Bulldogs who are seventh, eighth and ninth on the ladder respectively.

The first of a host of difficult games to pick for the round has me leaning slightly towards the Demons given the last month they’ve had. However, they are yet to register a really good win at the MCG this season. I’m suspicious as to whether their high pressure and tackling style of footy might only translate on the smaller grounds like Etihad. Sydney’s season is on the line with every passing week and they just keep getting it done, happy to take the experienced Swans here.

TIP: Sydney to win – $2 at Ladbrokes

Western Bulldogs vs West Coast Eagles (Saturday 1.45pm AEST)
Massive game for both teams who sit on 28 points and on the edge of the top eight. A loss here with a trip to Adelaide looming next week could spell danger for the Dogs, who are still decimated by injury but will be hoping to get Robert Murphy and Tom Boyd back for Saturday’s clash.

West Coast aren’t without their fair share of injuries either with Shannon Hurn, Josh Kennedy, Mark LeCras all set to miss on the weekend. Their loss to the Demons in Round 14 had it’s highlights with Drew Petrie and Jeremy McGovern stepping up to boot seven goals between them in the absence of Josh Kennedy.

Would be an easier pick if the game were being played out West but at Etihad this game is as good as 50-50. The Dogs have been able to find ways to win at home over the last year and a half and although they are terribly out of form a the moment, you have to have them as slight favourites here, especially with no Hurn or Kennedy in the Eagles line-up.

TIP: Western Bulldogs 1-39 – $2.10 at Sportsbet

GWS vs Geelong (Saturday 7.25pm AEST)
The game of the round sees first play third as Greater Western Sydney square off against the Cats at Spotless Stadium on Saturday night. The two teams are coming off great Round 14 wins in contrasting fashions and will be looking to continue their quest to lock up a top four spot with a win here.

After being down for most of the game, the Cats were able to storm home late against the Dockers, kicking three goals to zero in the last quarter to secure a miraculous 2-point win. The Giants were dominant from the outset against the Lions, blowing out to a 5 goal lead at half time before walking off the field with a 60-point win.

In another extremely tough game to pick, the edge has to be given to the Giants, who are at home and should retain the services of gun midfielder Josh Kelly, who missed the Brisbane game with an injured hip. While the Cats have won 4 of their last 5, they haven’t looked unbeatable by any stretch and given the home field advantage and the scary prospect of Jon Patton and Jeremy Cameron both finding some form on the weekend, we are inclined to take GWS here.

TIP: GWS 1-39 – $2.10 at Sportsbet

Hawthorn vs Collingwood
Another big game of the weekend sees the Hawks square off against the Pies at the MCG on Sunday afternoon. The Hawks pulled off possibly the biggest upset of the season when they travelled to Adealaide on Thursday night and defeated the Crows by 14 points. Experience proved key for the Hawks, bringing in Luke Hodge, Grant Birchall, Luke Breust and Ryan Schoenmakers into the team, all who proved vital to the winning outfit.

Collingwood were dealt a massive reality check when they were beaten comfortably by the Power at the MCG on Saturday afternoon. The Pies had almost 100 more disposals than the Power and 22 more marks but their usage of the ball was terrible and struggled to get any type of free flowing movement through the middle of the ground all day.

After a couple of massive wins over the Swans and Crows in the last month, you’d think that the Hawks would be the smart play here, but sprinkled throughout that month are also losses to the Power and Suns. It’s too hard to get a read on the Hawks this year but we think if the experienced heads stay in the side this week they could be too strong for the Pies.

TIP: Hawthorn to win – $2.02 at Ladbrokes

Fremantle vs St.Kilda
Another game that is proving extremely difficult to get a read on is the Dockers hosting the Saints on Sunday afternoon. Being out West, Fremantle have opened as favourites for this game but after a strong performance against the Suns on the weekend and a decent track record against the Dockers, we think the Saints could be a chance here.

St Kilda is drawing closer to being fully fit for the first time all season, with star midfielder David Armitgae only a few weeks away from returning to the side. Darren Minchington and Nathan Wright will both undergo fitness tests this week for the Saints while the Dockers have a host of players who need to prove their fitness for the clash including Nat Fyfe, Jon Griffin, Aaron Sandilands and Danyle Pearce. However, all are likely to miss.

St Kilda have won three of their last four matches agaist the Dockers by over 30 points and with the injury woes the Dockers are currently facing we wouldn’t be surprised if the away team snuck over the line here. Freo have already dropped two games at Domain Stadium this year so it’s already proving not to be the fortress it once was.

TIP: St Kilda to win – $2.08 at Sportsbet



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