2017 AFL Community Series Week 1 Betting Tips

February 15, 2017 by Posted in AFL Tips

AFL Community Series

Footy is finally back! After nearly five months of waiting, we will finally get to see some AFL action this weekend with the 2017 JTL Community Series kicking off Thursday night. The Series will span over four weekends, with each team to play three games. You can catch every game live on Fox Footy kicking off Thursday, the 16th of February with Collingwood vs Essendon. We’ll do our best to provide you with betting tips for every game of the JTL Community Series, but be aware that teams will go into these games with a much higher importance on development than winning.

AFL JTL Community Series Week 1 Betting Tips

Collingwood vs Essendon (Thursday, 7.40pm, Etihad Stadium)

One of the fiercest rivalries in the AFL kicks off the JTL Community Series with Collingwood getting the ‘home game’ against Essendon at Etihad Stadium. The talking point of the game will be Essendon and how some of their players returning from a year’s ban for doping will fare. Although many of them won’t play in the game, it’ll still be interesting to find out if the fringe players who were banned such as Heath Hocking, David Myers and Ben Howlett mesh with the new faces of the club. It’s an interesting prospect for #1 draft pick Andrew McGrath. Normally, #1 picks come into average teams and are able to play most of the games in their first season, McGrath will have to prove his worth in the pre-season with a host of Essendon players returning to the fold.

Collingwood still boast an extremely talented and deep midfield. The likes of Scott Pendlebury, Steele Sidebottom, Adam Treloar and Taylor Adams can match it with the best, their problem is at either end of the ground, especially defence. Losing Nathan Brown to the Saints and with Ben Reid’s constant injury problems, they are a tall defender or two short and it’s hard to see them having any impact in 2017 because of it. Nathan Buckley’s head will be firmly on the chopping block if he can’t make something happen early in the season.

TIP: Essendon to win – $1.45 at Ladbrokes

Hawthorn vs Geelong (Friday, 7.40pm, University of Tasmania Stadium)

By all reports, the Cats are prepping themselves for a real tilt at the flag this year, while the Hawks action packed off season could see them moving drastically in either direction. Only time will tell for Hawthorn, with a bunch of new names, we’ll get the chance to see the likes of Tyrone Vickery, Jaeger O’Meara, Tom Mitchell and the returning Jarryd Roughead on Friday night. It’s always a tossup between these two teams, who have been the most dominant clubs of the last 10 years.

Cats recruit Aaron Black has been named in the squad to take on Hawthorn, it will be interesting to see if he can be the second key forward the Cats have been without since the departure of James Podsiadly in 2013. It’s hard to pick a winner when these two teams meet in a final let alone a preseason match, so we’ll steer clear of the H2H market here. Both teams should be out of touch offensively, with Geelong trialling a new look forward line and Hawthorn with Roughead back and Jack Gunston not named. Either team by 15 or under looks an okay bet here.

TIP: Either team by 15 or less – $2.40 at CrownBet

Greater Western Sydney vs West Coast (Saturday, 2.05pm, Narrandera Sports Ground)

The 2017 AFL Premiership favourites Greater Western Sydney will get their pre-season underway Saturday against the Eagles in Narrandera. The GWS fans will be closely watching their #2 draft pick Tim Taranto who is set to play Saturday. It’s almost an embarrassment of riches for the GWS team, with an absolute star studded lineup already, they get to add another two top 5 draft picks in Taranto and Will Setterfield this year. All promising signs for the Giants as young guns will have to fight hard for a spot in the regular 22.

They come up against the Eagles on Saturday in what should be a pretty competitive match. Sam Mitchell could get his first run in West Coast colours here but he has been hesitant to play pre-season football in the past and we might have to wait until later rounds of the JTL Community Series to see him in the new kit. West Coasts hard ball winning unit will be elite this year with Mitchell joining fellow Brownlow Medalist Matt Priddis and their forward line is still arguably the best in the comp. Have them out of the eight at your own peril.

TIP: West Coast Eagles at the line – Check closer to game for line/price.

Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne (Saturday, 4.40pm, Whitten Oval

The 2016 Premiers will be rewarding their diehard fans with a home game at the sacred Whitten Oval to open their 2017 pre-season against the Demons on Saturday. Off season recruit Travis Cloke is obviously going to be the talking point for the Dogs in this pre-season. This three-game campaign is a great opportunity for him to prove he belongs in the Bulldogs fast paced, high powered best 22. Although they didn’t really lose any of their higher profile players, there was a large turnover on the back end of their list, which should give their draft picks plenty of opportunity.

Melbourne are one club that the punters are backing in to slide into the 8 this year. At the expense of who? It’s still unknown, but a team with as much young talent as the Dees won’t be kept down for long. Jordan Lewis and Michael Hibberd are massive signings for the club and will bring leadership and experience in boatloads. Run off half back is going to be the name of the game for Melbourne this year, with Hibberd joining Jake Melksham in what will make for a deathly precise playmaking duo. Their midfield has grit and hard ball winning ability with Lewis joining Nathan Jones and plenty of outside run in youngsters Angus Brayshaw and Jack Viney. The 2016 Premiers surprisingly go into this one as underdogs and I like them to cause an upset at home.

TIP: Western Bulldogs to win – $2 at Sportsbet

Sydney vs North Melbourne (Sunday, 2.05pm, Coffs Harbour International Stadium)

After a disappointing end to the season, Sydney will be looking to go one better this year and claim their 3rd premiership in 12 years. They come up against North Melbourne who have been slated by many as the one definite team to drop out of the eight this year. The Roos have decided to look to the draft to replace over 1000 games of experience in the departing Nick Dal Santo, Brent Harvey, Michael Firrito and Drew Petrie, with no real notable signings coming through free agency or trade. The turnover at North Melbourne can’t be overlooked, along with the above mentioned players, the Roos waved goodbye to Robin Nahas, Farren Ray, Daniel Wells and Aaron Black, all who would have provided great experience and chemistry in the locker room at the least.

Sydney on the other hand, have had a relatively quiet offseason, with young gun Tom Mitchell being the only notable departure. They’ll hope to replace him with #11 draft pick Oliver Florent, who will get his chance to prove himself this preseason. It’s unlikely that the Sydney stars such as Lance Franklin, Kurt Tippet, and their elite midfield core will see an abundance of pre-season time, so look for them to be working into 2017 fairly easy. I like this one to be a close game like so many have been between these two teams in the past.

TIP: Either team by 15 points or less – $2.50 at Sportsbet

Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions (Sunday, 3.40pm, Kombumerri Park)

The AFL have done well in scheduling games so fans don’t get too disheartened with week one blowouts. Arguably the two worst teams going into the 2017 season will square off in the Lions and Suns on Sunday. While both teams attempted to be active during the offseason, it would be a stretch to say either were successful. Gold Coast were absolutely decimated by the departure of Jaeger O’Meara and Dion Prestia, however, they received small consolations in obtaining the services of Pearce Hanley and Michael Barlow as well as a plethora of picks. With four top ten picks arriving at the club, this preseason will be all about blooding youth.

The Lions were also on the end of some demoralising off season departures, with Pearce Hanley joining a host of retirees leaving the club. Jack Frost comes to Brisbane via Collingwood, and they also welcome #3 pick Hugh McCluggage who will be looking to have an impact this preseason. It’s an absolute toss up here, but the young talent of Gold Coast attempting to prove their worth could see them over the line.

TIP: Gold Coast to win – $1.50 at Sportsbet
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TIPS ARE SIMPLY THE AUTHOR’s OPINION. ALWAYS GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY

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