2016 Railway Stakes Betting Tips

November 19, 2016 by Posted in Horse Racing Tips


The Perth Racing Carnival has arrived which includes the running of the TABtouch Masters – three Group 1’s over the course of three weeks. The Railway Stakes is the first of the Group 1’s and is to be followed by the Winterbottom Stakes next weekend before concluding with the Kingston Town Classic in two weeks time.

This year sees five non-Perth trained horses make the trip over for the Railway Stakes, in what looks to be an ultra competitive race with the favourite at the $6 mark.

The track is currently around the Soft range but with the sunshine we’ve had over here I think we’ll see the track back in the Good range for the race. There is a small possibility of the rail being favoured due to the rail being in the 3m position for the first time, but we’ll know more by the time this race comes around.

I expect this to be run at a pretty decent pace with Pornichet expected to make his way over from barrier 18. He really fired up in the blinkers last start and took off out the front, and while I don’t expect him to do that again I do think he’ll inject some pace from out wide. Kawi draws well to sit up on speed from barrier 3, while Ideal Image, Scales Of Justice and even Mackintosh can all race near the speed. If the rail is hot it may suit something just sitting on the back of the leader but if it’s playing fairly I expect the swoopers to come into play.

That should set it up nicely for market leader PERFECT REFLECTION, who bounced back to the winners circle last start in the Group 2 Lee Steere Stakes. She got the race run to suit with Pornichet setting the hot tempo but she still did well to run down Disposition. As a Group 1 winner over here already she looks thrown in at the weights with just 54.5kg and barrier 2 should give her every chance with William Pike aboard, but as we saw last year, the Eastern States horses don’t have to be the best to win Group 1’s over here. This year they’ve brought a few good ones so it will be a very good effort if she manages to pull it off.

GOOD PROJECT won this race last year but this race looks a tougher race than what he contested last year. In saying that, he does tick some boxes here. He looks to be approaching some form and there seems to be a sense of timing about him. He has just his fourth run back from a spell here and importantly he draws well in barrier 7. Bowman is booked to take the ride and he should get absolutely every chance to win.

Waller’s other horse is MACKINTOSH, who I was very, very keen on a few weeks back when I found out he was coming across for this. This horse won a Group 2 over Counterattack first up, before running 3rd in the Group 1 Metropolitan in Sydney. Last start he was beaten just 1.4L by Le Romain in the Cantala Stakes. That form is red hot for a race like this, and he joins 6 of the past 10 winners to carry 54kg or less. Damien Oliver is booked, but the huge killer for him is barrier 16. Had he drawn a barrier I would have been all over him, but barrier 16 certainly makes things tough. Either he goes forward and risks being caught wide or he goes back and has to make up all the ground.

HE OR SHE is in a similar boat to Mackintosh in that he brings very solid form lines to this but will need a good ride and plenty of luck from barrier 15. In his last four starts the horses that have won the race have been Palentino, Black Heart Bart, Winx and The Unites States. They don’t get much better. Not to mention he’s won 6 times from 8 starts at this track before going to Melbourne. Don’t rule him out.

There’s two horses that appeal to me more than the previous four, however, and they are RAGEESE and TRADESMAN.

RAGEESE is Darren Weir’s sole horse in the race and he proved last start just how good he is if he produces his best form. He charged home to win the Group 3 Chatham Stakes at Flemington and this isn’t an afterthought like it might be for a few other Eastern States horses. This is only his fifth run of the campaign and with 53.5kg on his back, he is weighted to win. From barrier 11 I see him positioning just worse than midfield and if the tempo is what I expect it will be, it will set it up for him to come over the top.

TRADESMAN is another that is weighted to win with just 53kg. He just about matched it with Perfect Reflection last start and drops 6kg from that run which means he gets a 3.5kg weight swing on the mare. He beat home Scales Of Justice first up and that horse has since won two on the bounce, including the Group 3 RJ Peters Stakes. From barrier 6 he should get a perfect run in midfield and he is undefeated third up from a spell. He ticks a lot of boxes.

I’ll be backing Rageese and Tradesman hard with a saver on Perfect Reflection.


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Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly. Also be sure to check out the Bet King Twitter Page  for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

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