2016 NFL Week 17 Betting Tips

December 30, 2016 by Posted in NFL Tips


Welcome back to the final edition of the BetKing NFL best bets column for 2016. It’s been a profitable season for us all despite a disappointing result last week where we went one and two from our three best bets. Washington cruising home over Chicago was our only victory.

Our season tally currently sits at 30-18-1 (a healthy 12 games above .500!). This week is an ultra tricky week with limited value on the board and low confidence in all but a few games. We’ve done our best to identify the best overlays though and those bets can be found below!

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

San Fran rank 24th or higher for both DVOA defense and DVOA offense and have had an awful season which culminated in an awful game last week against the lowly Los Angeles Rams. Seattle has their issues, particularly with their offensive line but luckily for them it is awfully hard to see the 49ers exploiting that weakness this week.

Seattle have clinched the division and a playoff spot but they still have a playoff seed to chase for and to protect as much as they can a home field advantage in the playoffs. This line feels a good three points too short although funky stuff does happen in Week 17 so we aren’t betting up too much.

TIP: Seattle Seahawks -9.5 – $1.91 at William Hill
Confidence level: 75%

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Green Bay are a team that the public often overbets and as such rarely appear in our best bets column. This time around though we have a few factors that help push this into the bet zone. Firstly, it’s Aaron Rodgers v Matt Stafford with the NFC North division on the line. Green Bay has had a great record in such games of late and have won their past five games and look to have improved in some of the areas that were such obvious weakness at the midway point of the season.

Finally, Detroit have been one of the most overrated teams all season long (right their with Miami) and actually rank 27th in DVOA despite winning nine games this season! Green Bay rank 6th and in the dome we see them scoring points with ease against an average Lions defense. Line is 2 points too low and worth a bet.

TIP: Green Bay Packers -3 – $1.83 at William Hill
Confidence level: 75%

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota started as hot as a pistol but have faded away slowly throughout the season. The offensive coordinator Norv Turner leaving midway through the season probably should have been a sign of deeper issues but the Vikings have continued to slip in 2016. The offense now ranks 26th in offensive DVOA and have scored over 20 just once in their last five games and that was due to the junk time points they put up when the game was over against the Packers last week.

Chicago is a feisty team who have been hit hard by injuries but shown some good signs for the future. They also rank above Minnesota in overall DVOA despite winning four less games so far. The current line is 2.5 points too high and the points are begging to be taken. Expect this line moves to 4.5 later in the week.

TIP: Chicago +5.5 – $1.91 at CrownBet
Confidence level: 75%

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