2016 NFL Week 13 Betting Tips

November 29, 2016 by Posted in NFL Tips

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Welcome back to another edition of the BetKing NFL best bets. Week 12 proved to be very kind to us with all three of our bets winning and winning very comfortably at the spread.

That clean sweep took our season tally to 21 wins, 14 losses and one push. The winners have arrived at average odds of $1.93.

This week looks to be another great betting week, our best value plays below!

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings

The Dallas Cowboys haven’t lost a Football game since Week 1 of the season when they narrowly lost to the New York Giants. They played a good Football team on Thanksgiving at home and did enough to win. The weakness is certainly on defence and defending against an air-raid. Lucky for them, the Minnesota Vikings really struggle in that department and this match-up plays right into their hands. The Cowboys sit comfortably in the top five for every offensive team metric there is out there and are also a league best 9-2 at the spread this season.

The Vikings badly need Adrian Peterson back – somehow he could probably mask how bad the offensive line is a little bit. Bradford lacks potency and put simply we think the Cowboys will just overwhelm the Vikings with weapons. This could be a double-digit win.

TIP: Dallas Cowboys -3.5 – $1.98 at CrownBet
Confidence level: 75%

Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons

The Kansas City Chiefs played in the best quality game of Week 12 when defeating the Denver Broncos at Mile High on Sunday Night. This week they travel further East to take on the NFC South division leading Atlanta Falcons who are 7-4 straight up and 7-4 at the spread. Matt Ryan is a legitimate MVP candidate. This is a cracking match-up on paper.

Kansas City are second in the AFC West but have a better record than the Falcons at 8-3. The Chiefs are 5-5-1 against the spread this season. The Chiefs main issue is scoring points and moving the ball, luckily for them the Falcons rank 28th for points allowed this season. With Justin Houston back and seemingly very healthy (he was amazing in the first half against Denver) we have the Chiefs rated as a one and a half point better team on a neutral field against the Falcons. After accounting for a three point home field advantage for Atlanta the spread still feels too big. Anything over a field-goal is too good to knock back on the gutsy Chiefs.

TIP: Kansas City +4 – $1.86 at CrownBet
Confidence level: 70%

Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals

Washington are sitting third in their division just like the Arizona Cardinals but right now they are a considerably better team. Their offence is a legitimate top ten force in the league under Gruden and Callaghan, Kirk Cousins, Rob Kelley, Jordan Reed (freak) and the string of solid receivers the Redskins have.

Arizona have been arguably the most disappointing team of this NFL season. Carson Palmer’s confidence and career (maybe) is collapsing under the heat that his offensive line is letting through. David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald are the two offensive skill players who can hold their heads up high in an otherwise ordinary season. The trademark Bruce Arians defence hasn’t had the same punch and they are fourth worst 3-8 against the spread in 2016.

We’ve rated this game in the pick’em / -1 Washington range and were staggered to see we could get a field-goal head start. The line is set at -2.5 around the $2 or $2.05 mark. Certainly no issues in recommending taking that line but if you can grab the -3 and lose a bit of the price then we think it’s a really good idea to grab that key number.

TIP: Washington Redskins +3 – $1.80 at CrownBet
Confidence level: 70%

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