2016 NFL: AFC Season Wins Predictions & Tips
We’re back for part two of our rapid fire, NFL season win total assessments.
There has been a stack of action and line movement in the AFC but we think there is still some value left on the board.
Lines, bets and thoughts below!
AFC WEST
TIP: Denver Broncos 9.5 wins UNDER with $1.65 Sportsbet
They have an excellent defence but they overachieved last year and were ‘lucky’ in many key metric areas. Quarterback situation isn’t ideal either, slight lean to the under with Chargers set to improve on last year.
TIP: San Diego Chargers 6.5 wins OVER with $1.73 Sportsbet
Very unlucky last year and they’ve still got an elite quarterback. Some good young talent on this team as well, we’ve projected eight wins.
TIP: LA Rams 6.5 wins UNDER with $2.47 Sportsbet
At the price, have to take the unders on a team that we think will be the worst in the division albeit marginally. The most important position in Football is quarterback and the Rams have a lot of question marks there.
TIP: Kansas City Chiefs 9.5 wins OVER with $1.90 William Hill
Tough! The bookies have set this line perfectly.
AFC EAST
TIP: New York Jets 7.5 wins UNDER with $2.10 Sportsbet
Fitzpatrick saga finally ended but it feels like the Jets are still in no mans land. Matt Forte is a nice addition but how confident are we he can still perform at an elite level? He’s already been injured in camp and the Jets look a risk…again.
TIP: Miami Dolphins 7 wins UNDER with $2.10 William Hill
There is talent here, but there is also lots of holes! Tough schedule with out of division games against the Bengals, Steelers, Cardinals and Seahawks!
TIP: Buffalo Bills 8 wins UNDER with $1.74 with William Hill
The Bills were improved offensively last year (1st in rushing and 12th in total points). They did win the turnover battle last year and their schedule this year is sneaky though. Only one season since 2005 where they’ve won more than eight games, have to take the under!
TIP: New England Patriots 10.5 wins UNDER with $2.25 William Hill
They don’t have Brady for the first four games of the season and even with him back they face tough road games at Denver and Pittsburgh as the season goes on. They are legitimate Super Bowl contenders but 10 wins might be enough to win the division. No confidence but rather take the extra price on the under.
AFC SOUTH
TIP: Houston Texans 8.5 wins UNDER with $2.05 William Hill
Very marginal, Texans are a solid team but hard to get involved until we see something from Osweiler. No bet line.
TIP: Indianapolis Colts 9.5 wins OVER with $2.17 Sportsbet
Big bounce back year for a healthy Andrew Luck. The Colts are the forgotten team of Football after a horrible season last year.
TIP: Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5 wins UNDER with $2.05 Sportsbet
Improving, but still not ready to take the next step. The defense has holes in it and the rushing game will need to improve considerably in this division to win eight games.
TIP: Tennessee Titans 5.5 wins OVER with $1.67 Sportsbet
Super Mario will become a very good player but this team was in the bottom five in both offense and defense last year. They’ll improve but not enough for us to bet confidently.
AFC NORTH
TIP: Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5 wins UNDER with $2.03 Sportsbet
Injuries and suspensions have started earlier than usual for the Steelers. Super talented team but a tough start on the schedule gives us a slight lean to the under.
TIP: Cleveland Browns 4.5 wins OVER with $1.90 William Hill
They are going to be bad, again, sorry Browns fans. However, five wins isn’t out of the question. Low confidence bet.
TIP: Baltimore Ravens 8.5 wins UNDER with $1.77 William Hill
They start with a pretty easy schedule but we still think this goes under. Both Pittsburgh and Cinci are better teams and will be taking wins off the table.
TIP: Cincinnati Bengals 9.5 wins OVER with $1.74 William Hill
Really strong team in nearly all facets. Before Dalton went down last year they were a top five team in the league. 10 or 11 wins isn’t out of the question.
BEST BETS
TIP: San Diego Chargers OVER 6.5 wins
TIP: Indianapolis Colts OVER 9.5 wins
TIP: Cincinnati Bengals OVER 9.5 wins
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