2016 ATA Stakes Betting Tips

December 23, 2016 by Posted in Horse Racing Tips

Ascot Racing

Ascot Race 7 – A.T.A. STAKES 2200m

The Listed ATA Stakes is the final lead up race before the Group 2 Perth Cup on New Years Eve and we have a field of 9 set to line up over the 2200m.

We witnessed an amazing race last week in the Ted Van Heemst Stakes with Fathoms Of Gold leading by up to 15L at one point before just being run down by Perfect Reflection in the last 50m.

While we won’t get a tempo as brutal as that here, the race should be run at a solid pace with Kirov Boy engaged. He has been racing back in the field lately but I would expect him to try and lead this given the lack of other front runners in the race.

Bedamijo will lead if Kirov Boy doesn’t, and if he does then she will sit outside him. Expect to see Dark Alert much further forward than what he was last start, while Star Exhibit will also settle midfield.Properantes and Dubai Escapade should get cover in midfield, while Dark Musket and Cougar Express will drift back. Respondent could settle last from the widest barrier.

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A couple of these will be going on to the Perth Cup next week and I think one of them can actually give the Cup a fair crack. That horse is Star Exhibit who ran 2nd to Kia Ora Koutou last start. When you consider Kia Ora Koutou is now the $3 favourite for the Cup, it makes Star Exhibit very hard to beat here and a realistic winning chance in the Cup at $15. Two starts back he won over 1600m and then jumped to 2200m straight away last start. With that run under his belt (and proven ability at the distance) he should be better off in this race. Tricky barrier to negotiate but with even luck he is the one to beat here and I’d recommend having a penny on him to win the Cup with just 53kg.

His stablemate Dark Alert was a very strange run last start after drifting noticeably in the market. All the money said Star Exhibit was the pick of the stable that day and Pike took him well back in the field and he struggled to make up the ground. I think we’ll see him more forward today and he did lose by a pimple two starts go over 2100m so no surprises to see him in the finish today.

Respondent actually beat Dark Alert and Kia Ora Koutou two starts back over 2100m here but has since received a hike in the weights which saw him struggle last start. The weight might get the better of him again but with a quiet ride he can finish off into the placings.

Another horse on track for the Cup is Dark Musket, who put together two 3rd placings behind Star Exhibit and Kia Ora Koutou before struggling to handle the rise in grade last start. The drop in weight from 59kg to 55kg and the good barrier should see him run well here.

Properantes struggled last start but gets the blinkers off here so from barrier 5 he may be able to improve, while Bedamijo is always around the mark in these sorts of races.

Kirov Boy, Dubai Escapade and Cougar Express aren’t going well enough.

1st STAR EXHIBIT
2nd DARK ALERT
3rd DARK MUSKET
4th RESPONDENT

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