2017 NRL Round Finals: Week 1 Betting Tips


The 2017 NRL season has reached the finals series with eight teams remaining to fight it out for the premiership. We take a look at the four matches and offer our 2017 NRL Finals Week 1 Preview and Betting Tips below.

Sydney Roosters vs Brisbane Broncos (Friday 7.50pm AEST)
The 2017 NRL finals series will begin with the Roosters hosting the Broncos. The Broncos will head into the match wounded with two of their starting spine players out of the team. Andrew McCullough has been out of the squad for over a month now but the loss of Darius Boyd will be critical for the Broncos. Boyd is a crucial aspect of their attack and defence and he will be missed by the Brisbane side. Kodi Nikorima has been named at the fullback position. Meanwhile the side has lost size with Tevita Pangai Junior ruled out of the contest. He has been a big player from them off the bench and his hole will need to be filled.

Meanwhile the Roosters will head into the match at full strength. The side was almost embarrassed by the Gold Coast Titans last week and it would have seen them relinquish second place and a home semi-final. However, the side fought their way back into the contest to claim victory in the final minutes of the match. They were without a couple of their forwards who were rested and with them back on deck they will be stronger up the middle. We are predicting their home field advantage to play its role because if the Roosters were on the road we would be backing Brisbane. However, the injuries to Boyd and McCullough will prove too much for the broncos to overcome in a tight contest.

TIP: Roosters at the margin (1-12) – $2.88 at Sportsbet

Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels (Saturday 4pm AEST)
Will anyone be able to get in the way of the Melbourne Storm this season? It is hard to see a team defeating them, and we aren’t brave (or stupid enough) to back against them, especially in Cameron Smith’s milestone match. The Storm have lost only four games this season and one of those came against this weekend’s opponent. However, the Storm’s best players were out on origin duty.

The Eels ended the season with the wind in their sails and lost only one match of their past seven to claim a top four spot. However, they had a favourable draw but their two wins against the Broncos, especially the one at Suncorp stadium, were impressive. We believe the blue and gold will give the Storm a run for their money early on but eventually Melbourne will prove too clinical and put a gap between them and Parramatta on the scoreboard.

TIP: Storm at the line (-12) – $1.90 at CrownBet

Manly Sea Eagles vs Penrith Panthers (Saturday 7.40pm AEST)
These two sides did battle in a one-sided contest last week. The Sea Eagles flexed their muscles with their forward pack and they proved far too strong for the Panthers on the day. Their forwards were getting off the line and stopping the Panthers go-forward in its tracks. However, the Panthers will learn from their mistakes last week and they should push the ball wide from the ruck if the Sea Eagles bring the same tactic.

This could open up the game a bit more and this will play into the hands of the Panthers who have a strong attack. However, their chances of advancing in the finals series was hit with a blow early in the week when it was announced captain Matt Moylan will receive treatment for mental health. He is a huge part of their success and will be missed by the team. In a boost for the side, Dylan Edwards was named on an extended bench and he will be vital to the side earning the win if he can return. Bryce Cartwright has had a season to forget but we believe if the Panthers are going to stand a chance of earning a win, he will need to produce some magic on Saturday night. If he is kept quiet, the Panthers will fail to roar.

TIP: Manly at the line (-4.5) – $1.90 at William Hill

Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys (Sunday 4pm AEST)
An NRL team hasn’t won back-to-back premierships in more than two decades, will the Sharks be able to snap that streak? Their form throughout the season, and especially at the back end, suggests they won’t be able to be successful. However, the side is arguably one of the best teams on paper and if they are able to find momentum they will be hard to stop.

A great opportunity for them to regain their mojo is in a home semi-final against a battered Cowboys outfit. North Queensland has had injury problems all season and unfortunately for them it saw them limp into the finals series. They are without a number of their stars and it has put a lot of pressure on the shoulders of Michael Morgan, Lachlan Coote and Jason Taumalolo. The stars haven’t been able to create enough in recent weeks and it was evident last week as they struggled to score against the Broncos despite the majority of possession and territory in the second half. It lead to a narrow loss and we believe they will struggle to crack the Sharks line and it will be Cronulla who celebrate a win.

TIP: Sharks at the line (-8) – $1.90 at Sportsbet

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TIPS ARE SIMPLY THE AUTHOR’S OPINION. ALWAYS GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY

September 6, 2017 by Posted in NRL Tips No Comments

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